Friday, September 19, 2008
Cool inTrade Map
InTrade, on its front page, has a cool map showing electoral votes by state and the price of the contract coded in blue or red, with different hues reflecting how close the race is in those states. It's similar to a spreadsheet I posted a few weeks ago. Based on this map, all that McCain needs to win is pick up Ohio and New Mexico. That'll put him at 270, and Obama at 268. Virginia now looks like it's skewing Republican, but lightly. And if I'm not mistaken, whatever combinations you run, McCain has to carry Ohio. The quickest way to the finish line is Ohio and New Mexico, or if not that, then Ohio and Colorado. If he only picks up New Hampshire and Ohio, then he'll be one vote short. (Heck, unless I'm missing something, it'll be a tie if McCain carries all those red states plus Ohio and NH, as the tally for both candidates will be 269). Looks like it's coming down to Ohio again this year. I heard on the news that within Ohio, there are swing counties that drive Ohio. It's going to be a battleground in those counties fo sho.
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