Thursday, August 28, 2008

Weird Fluctuations at inTrade

Man, the contracts on Romney and Tim Pawlenty are swinging wildly over at inTrade. Romney was just down to 30%, and is now back up to 46, whereas Tim Pawlenty is at 50. Looks like a toss-up between these two men.

Update: As of 8:35am CST, Romney is trading at around 10(%), Pawlentey at 3(%), and Lieberman at 8(%). The dark horse candidate from Alaska, Sarah Palin is now trading at a whopping 52(%). A female runningmate has obvious appeal, given all that I've been hearing about Hilary's people upset towards Obama.

Update deux: I wonder if this was a last-minute switch in response to seeing how Obama's speech went over. The media has been abuzz with a lot of excitement over last night's speech. Those on the right end of the spectrum are predictably non-chalant about it, but I've been hearing far more excitement from centrist right to left pundits. I'm listening to it now. But, if it's as much of a bounce as people are saying, then I can see the appeal of Palin who seems very strategic. This will be an interesting race, if so.

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